Part 2 of 3 in my 2011 season preview. Once again, without further ado here is how 2011 will play out for the 16 National League teams.
National League West:
1. San Francisco Giants (93 Wins): Well, what’d you expect? My expectations in a nutshell for this year are that the pitching will continue to dominate and carry this team, and I also expect the offense to be up from 2010 in terms of team batting average and an overall offensive improvement as a club.
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (89 Wins): What I expect to see from the Dodgers this year is a big rebound from 2011. Andre Eithier and Matt Kemp I predict will have big years in their own mini Cargo-Tulo combo in the outfield for the Dodgers. But what I really ‘like’ about the Dodgers is their pitching and their ability to put together a very solid rotation this offseason. Beat LA.
3. Colorado Rockies (87 Wins): I guess my beef with the Rockies is they can’t be carried all season by three guys which is what the Rockies are. Aside from Ubaldo, Tulo and Cargo there’s not much left for Dinger and the gang. But on the other in hand it will those three in general that will get them as many wins as I predict them having and to once again make the NL West one of the most competitive races in baseball.
4. Arizona Diamondbacks (74 Wins): The Diamondbacks this offseason adressed their issue in the bullpen to an extent as well as brought in a few starting pitchers to compete to make the rotation. I expect their vast amount of young players to expand and improve enough to give the DBacks a 9 game edge on their record from last season.
5. San Diego Padres (63 Wins): Second to worst? you got it. The Padres young pitching ‘studs’ in their starters and bullpen will finally come down to earth this year. They have virtually no offense anymore and they will struggle to support the performances of their starters, much like the Giants have the past nine bajillion seasons.
National League Central:
1. Milwaukee Brewers (87 Wins): The Brewers can give a hand to Wainwright who has handed the Brew Crew the division title with 87 wins. Greinke and Marcum pitching in the offensively challenged NL Central will be a boost for a fantastic pitching staff and propel them to a division title, their second in four years. Oh, they also have those two guys Fielder and Braun, they’re alright I guess.
2. St. Louis Cardinals (85 Wins): Adam Wainwright single handedly changed the standings in the NL Central, he just cost his club the division title. I can’t imagine that whoever replaces Wainwright in the rotation won’t be any better then half as good as Wainwright so they’ll probably make up 11-12 of those 20-22 team wins he’ll give. But ultimately I have the Cards falling to the Crew by two games. Like I said, with Wainwright, the division is the Cardinals to lose. No dice.
3. Cincinnati Reds (85 Wins): As you can see here I predict a pretty competitive balance within the Central. The NL Central champs will not be able to live up to their year they put together the previous season. I don’t their pitching is good enough to hang with the like of Pujols and Fielder within their division. The Reds have good offensive talent, and in 2-3 years they may be up there in the top teams in the National League but next year they’ll have to settle for third. :/
4. Chicago Cubs (84 Wins): I like the cubs this year. If it wasn’t for such competitive balance within the division they wouldn’t have to settle for a fourth place finish. The Cubs have a good, strong rotation going into the year now anchored by the ex-Ray Matt Garza and the Cubs can put together a decent offense. But just by a hair, they will finish in fourth place by one less win.
5. Astros (79 Wins): The Astros did in the second half of last season, exactly what the Padres did in the second half of 2009, and look how the Padres turned out this year. The Astros have some momentum and excitement going into this year and I expect their young players they keep collecting in trades will start to pay off, sooner rather than later. And if these prospects do pan out, then perhaps The Astros might have a winner in the next few years.
6. Pirates (58 Wins): Honestly, don’t get me started. At this point if they can’t put 100% of their money and effort into scouting and drafting then they deserve to be where they are.
National League East:
1. Philadelphia Phillies (99 Wins): The only thing holding back the Phillies from getting 100 wins in the fact they are in the most talented division in the National League. The Phillies ‘Phab Four’ or what will you have the potential to be one of the greatest of all time or the potential to be on of the greatest busts. The Phillies rotation and lineup speaks for itself, all I can say is boy am I excited to watch those Phillies-Giants series this season.
2. Atlanta Braves* (90 Wins): The Braves have darn good starting pitching and a very formidable line up with the additions of Dan Uggla and the rook’ Freddy Freemen who will be their starting first basemen. I think Heyward will have a big year, better then his rookie campaign and I just thing the Braves have an all around good program which is now under the helm of Fredi Gonzalez.
3. Florida Marlins (85 Wins): The Marlins are just playing along with the brand of baseball they have been all along. Not being able to lock up Uggla, they shipped to Atlanta for prospects. Top prospect Cameron Maybin not panning out, ship him to the Pad’s for some relievers. But then you get every few years where all the pieces fall together and the Marlins will go 3/3 in their three world series appearances. Fear the fish.
4. New York Mets (74 Wins): Truth be told, I don’t really like the future of the Mets right now. Their starting pitching is a mess, their stud shortstop in Reyes is on the cusp of becoming a free agent and their $100+ million investment in Beltran hasn’t really gone according to plan. So as of now Mets fans should shut themselves out until July to see if their stars are still hangin’ around and possibly get a glimpse of the returning Johan Santana.
5. Washington Nationals (59 Wins): Sorry Mr. Werth, your $126 million contract just bought you a ticket to the cellar of the division in which you could still be at the top of had you have stayed with the Phillies. A year for the Nationals without Bryce Harper or Stephen Strasburgh will be rough, but on the bright side it’ll result is possibly another #1 or #2 pick in the MLB draft. Don’t worry Nats Nation your year will come in 2015 when the Phab Four is old and the Nationals are ready to roar.